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Friday, July 18, 2008
Ohio First Congressional District: It’s about the economy
Posted by Media Release
Poll Reveals the Economy Now the MOST Important Issue to Voters
CINCINNATI, OH – July 17, 2008—American Political Polling (APP) has just conducted a survey of 598 randomly selected registered voters from Ohio’s First Congressional District. The survey was taken over a three-day period ending July 11 and represents the counties of the first district (Hamilton and Butler).
Summary data from this poll is being made available to media outlets in southwest Ohio free of charge, while complete internal polling statistics are available for a fee.
Poll Summary & Analysis
The majority of District 1 voters, 54.7%, believe that George Bush is doing an “excellent, good or fair” job as President while 37.5% believe he is doing a “poor” job of leading the country. Barack Obama has a large lead over John McCain by almost 4 to 1. The economy is the most important issue facing America today according to 62 % of respondents while Iraq, health care, and education, combined, is 38%. Underscoring that point, 54% of the district feels that Ohio, which is one of 11 states in a confirmed recession, is headed in the wrong direction.
In the Congressional race, the Republican Incumbent, Steve Chabot was rated “excellent or good” by 22.5% of respondents, while 17.9% of respondents rated Chabot as doing a “poor” job. If the election were held today, respondents would vote 49.3% for Steve Driehaus, 21.5% for Steve Chabot, and almost one third of registered voters are still undecided at 29.1%.
Perhaps a foreshadowing state or national elections, 68.7% of respondents responded positively when asked how they felt about a Democrat representing the First District of Ohio in Congress.
Our survey indicates that the candidates in the First District still have an opportunity to reach voters with their message as 30% of respondents are still undecided on which candidate to vote for with more than four months remaining in the election season.
Survey Responses
1. The majority of District 1 voters, 54.7%, believe that George Bush is doing an “excellent, good or fair” job as President while 37.5% believe he is doing a “poor” job of leading the country.
2. If the election were held today, 63% say they would vote for Democrat Barack Obama.
3. If the election were held today, 16% say they would vote for Republican John McCain.
4. If the election were held today, 20% are still undecided.
5. Generally speaking, 57% of voters in OH1 say that Ohio is heading in the wrong direction.
6. Generally speaking the most important issue is the economy at 62%.
7. Incumbent Chabot holds a favorable rating among voters in the Butler County portion of his district and his support base appears stronger there than in Hamilton County.
8. Voters in Hamilton County, which represents the vast majority of the First District, appear ready for a change in party and candidate for their district.
9. Polling results suggest that challenger Steve Driehaus leads incumbent Steve Chabot by a 3 to 1 margin.
The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4 % with a 95% confidence level.
Please contact American Political Polling if you are interested in purchasing complete polling data.
About American Political Polling
American Political Polling is a privately-held company headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. The company’s objective is to become a leading source of independent political polling data for media outlets and political campaigns in Ohio. APP has a 20 seat in-house call center equipped with the latest in call center dialing technology which allows the company to reach a greater number of survey participants resulting in more accurate polling data.
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